The far-right AfD party is expected to dominate in the upcoming state elections in Thuringia, Saxony, and Brandenburg, marking a significant shift in Germany’s political landscape.
Bollywood Fever: As Germany gears up for crucial state elections in eastern regions, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is polling strongly, while the far-left is expected to come in third. The elections are set to take place on September 1 in Thuringia and Saxony, followed by Brandenburg on September 22. These three states, home to around 8.5 million people—about 10% of Germany’s population—offer a snapshot of the country’s political mood, particularly in the formerly Communist-run east where voting patterns differ markedly from the west.
The main issues driving the campaigns are immigration, the economy, and relations with Russia, themes that resonate strongly with both the far-right AfD and the newly formed Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW), a party that blends conservative social policies with far-left economic views. Both parties are eurosceptic, anti-immigration, and advocate for friendly relations with Russia, opposing military support for Ukraine.

Polling data suggests the AfD could emerge as the leading party in all three states, potentially marking the first time a far-right party has topped the polls in a German state parliament since World War Two. The AfD’s success is largely attributed to its strong anti-establishment stance, which resonates with a significant portion of the eastern electorate. Meanwhile, the BSW, which split from the far-left Left party, is expected to garner between 11-20% of the vote, posing a significant threat to its former parent party.
The electoral outcome is likely to result in complex coalition negotiations. The AfD, while potentially the largest party, may struggle to form a government due to other parties’ refusal to work with them. This scenario could lead to accusations of undemocratic maneuvering from the AfD, further polarizing the political landscape. In Thuringia, the conservative party’s refusal to ally with the far-left complicates the formation of a stable government, possibly pushing the conservatives to consider cooperation with the BSW.
In Saxony and Brandenburg, current coalitions involving the conservatives, SPD, and Greens might barely hold onto power, but they may also need the BSW’s support. If the AfD secures a third of the parliamentary seats, particularly in Saxony and Thuringia, they would have a blocking minority, complicating legislative processes and potentially leading to political gridlock.
These elections will not only determine the governance of these eastern states but also reflect broader shifts in Germany’s political dynamics, with the AfD and BSW reshaping the landscape in ways that could have national implications.
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